The road for the Congress party seems to be an uphill task for the by-elections on seven seats to be held next month. The victorious MPs have played a crucial role in becoming entangled in the current situation. The BJP, having taken lesson from its defeat in 11 Lok Sabha seats, has been stringent in its candidate selection this time around. In contrast, it seems that Congress is engaged in internal efforts to secure tickets for its own members. If Congress wins the Jhunjhunu, Dausa, and Deoli-Uniara seats, it would be a significant win. For the other four seats, a tight contest is expected in Salumbhar and Ramgarh, but Congress appears to lack support in Chaurasi and Khinvsar, where the BJP is presenting a strong challenge to regional parties.
If the results in seven seats go wrong, it will create a big problem for state president Govind Singh Dotasra. His opponents in the party can run a campaign to remove him. Although Rahul Gandhi has made Dotasra the president for the second time, there is no assurance of the central leadership of Congress as to what decision he will take at any time. Elections in states like Maharashtra and Jharkhand remain a big challenge for the central leadership. In the by-elections of Uttar Pradesh, Congress has already left the field due to fear of defeat. After this, in Hindi speaking states, Congress has a direct contest with BJP only in Rajasthan and Congress rarely wins in a direct contest. In the Lok Sabha elections, Congress fought well by forming an alliance with regional parties and doing social engineering. In such a situation, Congress won nine seats and regional parties won two seats. Now there is a direct contest in the by-elections.
In the elections held recently in Haryana, Congress lost in a direct contest to the Bharatiya Janata Party. This defeat has also affected the morale of the Congress. Congressmen do not learn a lesson from defeat. This has been proven many times. The by-election in Rajasthan is important in many ways, but the Congressmen did not back off. If we look at each seat, then Congress could have won Dausa, but stories have started about the ticket given on the recommendation of MP Murarilal Meena. If you talk to Congressmen, they say that it was a set up. The ticket has been given as per the wish of Kirordi Lal Meena in BJP. Due to Chief Minister Bhajan Lal Sharma, BJP is sure to get Brahmin votes. Therefore, the Dausa seat seems to be a win for BJP this time. Similarly, in Deoli-Uniara, MP Harish Meena has got a ticket which is not considered very strong. Harish Meena was a police officer and then came into politics. When he did not get a ticket from Congress, he became an MP from BJP for the first time, but in a hurry to become a minister, he changed the party without thinking. He became an MLA in Congress but did not become a minister. Now he has become an MP again. In these 10 years, Harish Meena has learned politics.
Therefore, they were successful in getting a ticket for their close aide. In such a situation, if they get the candidate elected, then they will become stronger.
As far as Jhunjhunu is concerned, it has been considered the traditional seat of the Ola family. Experts are saying that the way BJP has managed and distributed tickets, the road to Jhunjhunu has become difficult for Congress. This difficulty of Congress has been increased by independent candidate Rajendra Singh Gudha and two Muslim candidates. The strategy adopted by MP Brijendra Ola to get his son Amit Ola elected, how successful it will be, will be known only on the day of the result. From the point of view of Congress, there is no point in discussing Chaurasi. Bharat Adivasi Party is looking very strong. Due to sympathy in Ramgarh, Congress candidate Aryan Zuber Khan is seen giving tough competition, but there is every possibility that the election will be communally polarized. Congress can get trapped in this polarisation. The slogan given by Uttar Pradesh Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath, ‹Batoge to Katoge› is on top at this time. The Sangh has also approved it. If Yogi›s slogan is very popular in Maharashtra and Jharkhand, then Rajasthan will not remain untouched.
This time also Congress is not in the fight in Khinvsar. BJP can give a shock to Hanuman Beniwal›s party this time. In Salumbhar, there is a direct contest between Congress and BJP. But Congressmen do not refrain from fighting among themselves, they are more interested in defeating their own people than making them win. In such a situation, it would be too early to say anything. In the assembly elections of Rajasthan and Haryana, Congress was defeated by its own people and not outsiders. Congress is suffering the consequences of which and will suffer in future too, but Congressmen will be active in blaming others for the defeat. In such a situation, many leaders have their eyes on the post of state president.