On Saturday, U.S. President Donald Trump announced new tariffs—25% on imports from Canada and Mexico, and 10% on Chinese goods. The tariffs are set to take effect on Tuesday and will remain in place until the U.S. addresses its national emergency related to fentanyl and illegal immigration.
Global Reactions to the Tariffs
Ontario Premier Doug Ford expressed strong opposition, declaring that Canada must retaliate “hard and fast.” He pledged full support for a response from the federal government, which he hopes will match the U.S. tariffs “dollar for dollar.” Ford emphasized Canada’s vast resources, including high-grade nickel, uranium, and energy, which could be leveraged against the U.S. in retaliation. He also urged legal action against what he called “unfair and unjustified” tariffs.
Impact on the Business Sector
The Canadian Chamber of Commerce warned that the decision to impose tariffs will severely disrupt both Canadian and American businesses. They predicted that the increased tariffs would raise the cost of goods for everyone, affecting livelihoods on both sides of the border.
John Bozzella, President of the Alliance for Automotive Innovation, noted that North America’s automotive industry, valued at $300 billion, relies on seamless trade. He expressed hopes that a solution could be found that aligns with Trump’s goals while preserving the industry’s competitiveness.
David McCall, President of the United Steel Workers Union, added that the tariffs pose a serious risk not only to Canada but also to industries in both countries, threatening job security and economic stability.
Trade Effects in Mexico and Latin America
Matteo Ceurvels, Principal Latin America Analyst for Emarketer, cautioned that the 25% tariff on Mexico could upend three decades of trade integration, potentially harming Mexico’s retail growth, which is expected to drop from 4.5% to 3.3% this year. He further noted that managing this economic strain would present a significant challenge for Mexican leadership, particularly for Claudia Sheinbaum.
Unifor, Canada’s largest private sector union representing Detroit Three autoworkers, voiced strong criticism, urging Canada to retaliate swiftly in response to what they viewed as an economic war against Canadian workers.
Energy Sector and Fuel Costs
The American Fuel & Petrochemical Manufacturers (AFPM) expressed concern that U.S. refiners, heavily dependent on crude oil from Canada and Mexico, could face disruptions. While calling for a resolution, they emphasized that the tariffs should not affect vital oil and refined product imports that consumers rely on daily.
Clayton Seigle, Senior Fellow for Energy Security at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, cautioned that the tariffs contradict President Trump’s goals of lowering energy prices. The tariffs could hike costs for U.S. refiners and consumers and weaken U.S. energy security by disrupting the reliable flow of Canadian crude.
The American Petroleum Institute echoed these concerns, highlighting the importance of free trade in ensuring affordable and reliable energy for American consumers. They called for full exclusions on energy-related tariffs to safeguard energy affordability and protect American jobs.
Political and Public Response
Democratic Representatives Suzan Delbene and Don Beyer criticized the tariffs, labeling them as a tax on everyday goods that would burden American families. They also raised concerns about the unchecked power of the executive in imposing such wide-reaching tariffs without proper checks and balances.
In response to the tariffs, Nova Scotia Premier Tim Houston announced measures that would limit American businesses’ access to provincial procurement, potentially cancel existing contracts, and hike toll fees for U.S. commercial vehicles. He also directed the Nova Scotia Liquor Corporation to remove U.S. alcohol products from shelves starting February 4, 2025.
German Autos Association voiced its concern over growing protectionism, warning that the trend could lead to negative consequences for companies worldwide. They emphasised the risks of isolationism, which they believe would ultimately harm all countries involved.
Looking Ahead: Will There Be a Resolution?
As the tariffs take effect, industry leaders, politicians, and international analysts will continue to monitor the situation closely. While the potential for retaliation remains high, both sides of the border are also exploring avenues for negotiation. The future of U.S.-Canada-Mexico trade relations hangs in the balance, and the coming days will be crucial in determining how these tensions evolve.