Rajya Sabha Polls: Jayant Chaudhary’s move may change equation in UP

Now all eyes are on Rashtriya Lok Dal (RLD) chief Jayant Chaudhary in the upcoming Rajya Sabha elections schedule to be held later this month in UP. If Jayant Chaudhary’s RLD and BJP agreed for an alliance before the Rajya Sabha elections, the equation on ten vacant seats will change in UP. Currently, Jayant’s party […]

by Nikita Sarin - February 9, 2024, 4:42 am

Now all eyes are on Rashtriya Lok Dal (RLD) chief Jayant Chaudhary in the upcoming Rajya Sabha elections schedule to be held later this month in UP.
If Jayant Chaudhary’s RLD and BJP agreed for an alliance before the Rajya Sabha elections, the equation on ten vacant seats will change in UP.
Currently, Jayant’s party RLD is with the opposition alliance I.N.I.D.A bloc. The way discussions are going on about Jayant joining BJP, it will also impact the Rajya Sabha elections. The date of nomination for Rajya Sabha is February 15. Elections will be held on February 27.
On Thursday, 10 nomination papers were purchased by BJP for Rajya Sabha nominations. BJP may announce the names of its candidates soon.
At present, out of 10 vacant Rajya Sabha seats in UP, 9 are with BJP and 1 with SP. MLAs vote in this election. At present there are 399 MLAs in the assembly. This time, according to the fixed formula, 37 MLAs will be required to win one seat for Rajya Sabha. According to the present situation, NDA may easily win 7 seats and I.N.D.I.A. block may win 3 seats. But if an agreement is reached between RLD and BJP before the elections, then the equations of winning the seat will change.

What will be the new mathematics?
NDA has a total of 277 votes. In such a situation, after allotting the quota of 37 to everyone, he is left with more votes of 18 MLAs. Raja Bhaiya’s party is supporting BJP in the Rajya Sabha elections from the beginning. Therefore, his two votes are also expected to remain with NDA. Then BJP will have 20 additional votes. At the same time, the opposition alliance currently has 119 MLAs. Even after allotment of quota, at this time they will be left with 6 additional MLAs. If RLD goes with BJP then the number of MLAs with the opposition alliance will reduce to 110. The votes of nine RLD MLAs will be less than that of the opposition. If SP wants to field its third candidate, then for its victory SP will need one more MLA, which will not be easy to find at this juncture. On the other hand, with the addition of RLD’s nine votes, BJP will have 29 additional votes. In such a situation, if BJP fields its eighth candidate, then the decision will be taken through second preference votes.
In which the chances for BJP will increase. After this, instead of unopposed elections, it will be decided to hold elections.