ICC Women’s World Cup 2025 Qualification Scenario: With 4 points and a net run rate of +0.526, India still have their fate in their own hands. Harmanpreet Kaur’s team has New Zealand to play on Thursday in Indore and then there is the final match against Bangladesh and both these matches are huge.
India Women’s Semi Final Qualification Scenario?
If India win both the matches, they’ll qualify easily with 8 points, joining Australia, England, and South Africa in the semi-finals. Even if they defeat New Zealand but lose to Bangladesh, they can still qualify with 6 points, thanks to a better win count and higher NRR than Sri Lanka and the White Ferns.
In short, Thursday’s match is India’s golden pass win it, and they more or less book their place in the semi-finals. Lose it, and the route gets confused with net run rates and other scores.
New Zealand Women’s Semi Final Qualification Scenario?
For New Zealand (4 points, -0.245 NRR), the situation is just as desperate but much less meritable. The White Ferns play India and then finish off against England, so their chances ride on two straight wins.
A double-win will promote them to 8 points, ensuring qualification. But even if they defeat India and then lose to England, their hope is that India falls behind Bangladesh and their NRR remains higher than Sri Lanka.
The maths is cruel New Zealand needs to win large and pray that fortune smiles their way. One bad day will pack them off home.
Sri Lanka Women’s Semi Final Qualification Scenario?
For Sri Lanka (4 points, -1.035 NRR), qualification is more hope than strategy. They have the job of beating Pakistan in their last group-stage match and that’s only the beginning.
To remain in the hunt, Sri Lanka rely on India losing both their games and New Zealand losing to England. Even that, though, would require their net run rate to pick up hugely to catch up with the Kiwis.
In short, Sri Lanka are hanging by a thread. One Indian win will be enough to shatter their semi-final hopes.
ICC Women’s World Cup Semi Final Qualification Scenario?
If two or more teams end with the same points, the standings will be decided in this order:
- Most wins in the group stage
- Net Run Rate (NRR)
- Head-to-head result
- Original tournament seeding (if still tied)
This setup tilts in India’s favour, particularly if they beat New Zealand. A direct win provides them with the decisive edge in a 6-point tie situation — essentially keeping them above the White Ferns and Sri Lanka.
ICC Women’s World Cup: India W vs New Zealand W
Thursday’s India-New Zealand encounter at Indore is not another group-stage match it is a virtual quarter-final that will determine the knockout line-up of the tournament.
For India, it’s about taking the hopes of a billion supporters on their shoulders and making a point before the semi-finals. For New Zealand, it’s a desperate bid to stay alive. And for Sri Lanka, it’s waiting in the wings.
