The ongoing political events in Bihar and Maharashtra are entirely in favour of the BJP. Although the BJP is not directly involved in any matter at the moment, the narrative of the events is being written from their perspective. BJP strategists wanted a rift in the opposition alliance in Maharashtra and Bihar before the Lok Sabha elections.
The matter is progressing in that direction. Both states have a total of 88 Lok Sabha seats. If the opposition forms a strong alliance with Congress in both states, then BJP could face a loss of 30 to 40 seats this time compared to the 2019 Lok Sabha elections.
Due to this, the BJP has been consistently making efforts in both states since it parted ways with JD(U) and Shiv Sena led by Uddhav Thackeray. Several things have become clear from the meeting of the India Alliance on Sunday. First, things are turning sour in Bihar and Maharashtra. The India Alliance will not be formed in West Bengal and Uttar Pradesh.
TMC leader Mamata Banerjee and SP leader Akhilesh Yadav are not in favour of giving importance to Congress. Moreover, the BJP is not worried about both states. BJP strategists believe that their seats will not decrease but rather increase in Bengal. If the entire opposition unites in Uttar Pradesh, it will break the 2014 record. There could be a clear majority due to the Ram Mandir campaign, and 75 seats may also be achieved. The concern was for Maharashtra and Bihar.
The determination of Congress in Bihar has worked. If the coordinator of the India Alliance had been made Bihar Chief Minister Nitish Kumar in October itself, then the difficulties for the BJP would have increased. Nitish wanted to be made the coordinator at that time so that he could run a campaign against the Modi government nationwide. RJD leader Lalu Yadav also tried to convince Nitish to leave Bihar and go to Delhi. So that his son Tejashwi Yadav becomes the Chief Minister.
However, after the victory in Karnataka, Congress considered that it had won four out of five states recently. After winning the elections, the India Alliance will run it according to its own calculations. However, the election results have affected the Congress. The ambition of becoming the PM’s face shattered for Nitish due to not becoming the coordinator in October last year.
Laloo Yadav tried to put pressure on JD(U) to join hands with him in the JD(U) itself when he saw that the possibility of Nitish going to Delhi was reduced. Nitish became alert in time and the party avoided breaking up. Now there is only one option in front of Nitish, somehow return to BJP. He is negotiating with the allied parties of the BJP. BJP strategists feel that Nitish has become very weak. The BJP is considering how to bring Nitish back. Meanwhile, in Maharashtra, the BJP has gradually eliminated Uddhav Thackeray’s Shiv Sena. The condition of the Maha Agadi alliance in Maharashtra is worrying. Nothing is going well in the NCP either. There is restlessness among Congress leaders. Two months ago, the Maha Agadi alliance seemed strong, but today the situation has changed.