As the 2024 US presidential election looms just one day away, polls reveal a nearly tied race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. With crucial swing states up in the air, the election’s outcome remains highly uncertain, leaving voters and analysts alike holding their breath.
Narrow Lead for Harris in New National Polls
The latest polls indicate a slim advantage for Kamala Harris, who leads Donald Trump by just single digits. According to a HarrisX/Forbes poll conducted between Wednesday and Friday, Harris stands at 49% compared to Trump’s 48% among likely voters. The poll’s one-point margin of error underscores just how close this race could be.
Slight Edge in Key Polls for Harris
– PBS News/NPR/Marist Poll: Harris leads 51%-47%.
– Morning Consult: Shows Harris with a narrow 49%-47% advantage.
– ABC/Ipsos Poll: Harris edges out at 49%-46%, showing minor fluctuations since early October.
Despite these leads, multiple polls suggest that neither candidate has a clear path to victory, with undecided voters playing a pivotal role.
Deadlock in Swing States
Some of the latest surveys reveal a virtual tie:
– NBC News and Emerson College polls both show a 49%-49% deadlock.
– Yahoo News/YouGov also records a 47%-47% split.
Swing states will play a decisive role in breaking this stalemate, with outcomes likely hinging on last-minute voter decisions.
Trump Holds Narrow Lead in Some Surveys
While many polls lean slightly towards Harris, some recent ones favor Trump:
– CNBC Poll: Trump leads 48%-46% among registered voters.
– Wall Street Journal Poll: Trump ahead 47%-45%, marking his largest edge since August.
These marginal leads emphasize the volatility of voter sentiment heading into election day.
Harris’s Eroding Lead in Polling Averages
FiveThirtyEight’s weighted polling average shows Harris’s initial lead shrinking over the past two months, dropping from a peak of 3.7 points in August. As undecided voters weigh their options, analysts predict that a shift in even a small percentage could tip the balance either way.
Large Sample Polls Show Mixed Results
The Cooperative Election Study, conducted by YouGov with nearly 50,000 respondents, puts Harris at 51%-47%, though 3% remain unsure. Similarly, polls from Reuters/Ipsos and CBS/YouGov each give Harris a narrow one-point lead, but other major outlets, including The New York Times and CNN, report near ties.
The Final Countdown: A Historic Election Awaits
With polls showing a razor-thin margin, the 2024 election is shaping up to be one of the most unpredictable in US history. As Americans head to the polls, every vote will count in determining who claims the White House.
