In the lead-up to the 2024 US Presidential Election, Mukesh Aghi, President and CEO of the US-India Strategic Partnership Forum, has shared insights on how the outcome will shape the future of US-India relations. He emphasized that if Vice President Kamala Harris wins the presidency, it will mark a continuation of the Biden administration’s approach, which focuses on a broader partnership rather than a purely trade-based relationship.
Aghi highlighted that Harris’s strategy would leverage India’s strategic position concerning China, noting the importance of collaboration to address China’s influence globally. “If Kamala Harris wins, there will be a continuation of the Biden approach to look at India not only through the prism of trade but with a much broader partnership,” he explained.
In contrast, Aghi predicted that a potential second term for Donald Trump would lead to a more transactional relationship with India. He warned of possible policy shifts, particularly in economic and trade areas, such as increased tariffs on Indian goods and scrutiny over technology transfers to India. “Under Trump, the policy agenda will shift dramatically, especially on the economic front,” he stated.
Aghi also touched upon the mood among American voters as they approach election day, describing it as one of anxiety and uncertainty. He likened the atmosphere to “young parents outside the delivery room,” reflecting the unpredictability of the election results.
He noted that early voting has already surpassed 50%, suggesting that many voters have made their decisions. However, he stressed that swing states would play a crucial role in determining the final outcome, with last-minute voters potentially swaying the results.
Furthermore, Aghi pointed out the significant turnout of women and minority groups, indicating that their participation could heavily influence the election. He referred to controversial comments made by Trump campaign figures as factors that might shape the electoral landscape, particularly in key states like Pennsylvania.
As the election approaches, the implications of the results will not only affect the United States but also have a global impact, making this election a pivotal moment for US-India relations and beyond.
