As the Indian share markets enter the trading week tomorrow i.e. 15th September to 19th September, 2025, with a positive and optimistic tone with caution-grounds based on national as well as international hints. The benchmark indices, Sensex and Nifty 50 have recently traded with successive weekly gains, displaying consistent investor sentiments driven by bettering economic statistics and expectations of loosening monetary policy.
Recent Market Performance
The Nifty 50 index has seen eight consecutive days of advances, closing above the critical 25,100 level, a notable technical feat. The Sensex too has gained more than 350 points on the back of bullish forces led by particularly the banking, automobile, pharmaceuticals, and information technology sectors. This consistent uptrend shows that there is a phase of consolidation with underlying buying interest behind it, aided by strong domestic institutional investor flows despite some restraint on the part of foreign institutional investors.
Key Factors to Watch
A number of key factors will help determine market action during the coming week:
1. US Federal Reserve Policy Meeting: The Reserve’s September 16-17 two-day monetary policy committee meet is a key event. A 25 basis points reduction in interest rates is expected, with the labor market numbers affecting the move. This relaxation would soft the US dollar, attract foreign fund flows, and result in positive effect to Indian equities.
2. India-US Trade Relations: Hopes surrounding current trade talks between India and the US, as well as speculation regarding a potential POTUS trip to India, should continue to keep investors in a positive mood. Any good news on tariff cuts or ease of trade could further boost buying interest, particularly in export-oriented industries.
3. Economic Data: India’s inflation figures and GDP growth rates have been monitored. The latest reports indicating low inflation at around 2.07% and consistent GDP growth support hopes that the Reserve Bank of India will continue or even loose monetary policy in its October meeting with a rate cut.
4. GST Reforms and Fiscal Policy: The recent GST rate rationalisation is likely to have a beneficial effect on consumption-driven industries. The market shift is likely to lead to increased demand pre-festival season, which will help consumer goods, automobile, and discretionary spending companies.
Sector Outlook and Trading Strategy
- Banking and Financials: These continue to be market drivers, with Nifty Bank support at 54,000 levels and potential to move higher towards 55,500-56,100. Banking shares have demonstrated strength even in the face of policy uncertainty.
- Automobiles: Supported by GST reforms leading to rate reductions and festival demand that is coming up, auto shares continue to draw investor interest.
- Information Technology: With the Fed meet now at hand, IT shares might witness volatility but continue to be in the spotlight because of the export link.
Technical Perspective
Technically, holding above resistance levels around 24,700 for Nifty and 54,000 for Bank Nifty will continue to show a positive trend. A breakout above resistance of 25,280 for Nifty may trigger further positive rallies in the near future, targeting 25,500 and higher.
Nutshell
Next week starting tomorrow, the market looks bullish supported by favourable macroeconomic fundamentals, expected global monetary ease, and reforms at home. While volatility on central bank announcements is still a concern, continued institutional interest and favourable trade news should maintain the markets on a positive course during the week ahead. The Indian equity markets start the week September 15-19, 2025, on a positive note, based on the recent back-to-back advances in benchmark indices Sensex and Nifty 50. These advances have been supported by positive domestic economic data, expectations of monetary easing across the world, and beneficial government reforms.
