Indian markets has just survived a volatile week, defined by increased global tensions, fierce foreign portfolio selling, and variable corporate earnings. A number of complex factors have impacted the attitude of the investor community and will do so in the coming days.
FII and DII Activity
Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) continued to be net sellers during the previous week, taking out large amounts of capital in net sales worth ₹14,018.87 crore till date for August. Daily statistics also indicated repeated outflows; For instance, on August 6 and 7, FIIs sold ₹4,999.10 crore and ₹4,997.19 crore, respectively). In stark contrast, Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) came to the rescue, infusing a net of ₹36,795.52 crore this month, with massive daily buys like ₹10,864.04 crore on August 7 and ₹7,723.66 crore on August 8. This see-saw has maintained volatility and averted a more severe correction.
Market Mood and Sentiment
The overall market mood is cautious to bearish. Large indices such as Sensex and Nifty50 have recorded weekly falls, the fifth week in a row in the red. Technical analysts indicate underlying weakness, with critical support levels of 24,400-24,500 for Nifty. Auto stocks remain resilient but IT and pharma are under stress, a direct consequence of sector-specific FII selling and tariff concerns. Current mood gauges indicate high fear among investors, which indicates a climate of bargains to be had, yet with continuing uncertainty.
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Bears in the Long Term
Bearishness over long term now hangs over export-oriented sectors and the market as a whole, led mainly by fears of persistent FII outflows, world economic volatility, and rate uncertainty. Bear markets in India have always persisted for 12–18 months; macro risks can make these durations longer and burden further stock performance if they escalate.
Impact of the Tariff-storm
POTUS Trump’s latest executive order levelling steep tariffs, increasing US import tax on some Indian products to 50%, sent markets into shock. This action influences export industries such as pharmaceuticals, auto parts, textiles, and metals, sending their related shares down. The rupee has depreciated, as a result of anticipated narrowing dollar flows, and exporters are under margin pressure. Most companies are preparing for revenue headwinds and possible supply chain realignments.
Q1 Earnings: Good & Mixed Numbers
Q1 results have been mixed. Standouts were Trent, with a 24% net profit surge to ₹423 crore, beating expectations, and Titan, with robust growth momentum. On the other hand, giants such as Colgate-Palmolive and Nestle India registered single-digit falls in profits or subdued sales growth. ITC recorded healthy cigarette volumes, while Tata Power suffered due to poor industrial demand. The disparity highlights sector-specific strength in the face of macro headwinds.
Expert Opinions and Brokerage Suggestions
Market gurus caution but identify tactical opportunities for the long-term investor—particularly in areas that can withstand global shocks, such as consumption and domestic infrastructure. Bajaj Broking’s top recommendations are JSW Energy and Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd (HAL) as stocks that can ride out volatility. The consensus: don’t panic sell, stick with quality stocks, and keep an eye out for index support around 24,400; a break below could lead to further correction, but consolidation above this level could offer buy-on-dips opportunities to patient investors.
The coming week promises heightened volatility, with global triggers like US tariffs and FII flows remaining dominant factors. Investors should remain vigilant, heed expert advice, and stay nimble as market direction could shift quickly.
