The Polstrat-NewsX’s pre-poll survey predictions are out. The survey has predicted the Bhartiya Janata Party’s victory in Goa’s upcoming Assembly polls, while in Punjab, the survey has predicted that the Congress is unlikely to retain power in the next term. Here are the details:
GOA
SEAT SHARE, VOTE SHARE PREDICTIONS: The Polstrat-NewsX pre-poll survey predicts Bhartiya Janata Party victory in Goa’s upcoming assembly polls. Of the 40 seats, BJP is expected to win 20-22 seats with a 32.80% vote share. The Aam Aadmi Party is expected to get 5-7 seats with a 22.10% vote share, while INC+ is expected to get only 4-6 seats with an 18.80% vote share.
NEXT CM FACE: BJP’s Pramod Sawant is the respondent’s choice for the chief ministerial position in 2022 with 31.40% of respondents in his favour, while 23.60% of respondents opted for Congress’ Digambar Kamat.
KEY ISSUES & FACTORS: 19% of the respondents said mining would be the biggest voting issue fol
lowed by tourism revival (14.30%), infrastructure (13.80%), vaccination (12.20%), and heritage sites (11.10%). The factors that would play a key role in the upcoming elections, as per the Polstrat-NewsX pre-poll survey, would be local MLA face (22.20%), followed by religion (19%), national leadership (18.50%), Centre-State same party (14.90%) and caste (6.90%).
ON-GROUND IMPACT: As per the findings of the pre-poll survey, 33.50% of the respondents said that the Aam Aadmi Party hasn’t made an impact in their area, while 38% say the same for Mamata Banerjee’s Trinamool Congress.
PUNJAB
SEAT SHARE & VOTE SHARE PREDICTIONS: In the run-up to Punjab Assembly elections, the Polstrat-NewsX pre-poll survey predicts Congress is unlikely to retain power in the next term. Of the 117 seats, Congress is predicted to win 40-45 seats with a 35.20% vote share. The Aam Aadmi Party, seeking to solidify its position in Punjab, is predicted to defeat Congress with a small margin by winning 47-52 seats with a 38.83% vote share. SAD is predicted to get 22-26 seats with a 21.01% vote share, while BJP is predicted to get only 1-2 seats with a 2.3% vote share.
KEY ISSUES & FARM LAWS: The Polstrat-NewsX pre-poll survey finds that 35.70% of respondents don’t support Amarinder Singh’s decision to quit Congress, while 27.50% support his decision. Among various issues such as employment, farm laws/MSP, electricity, water and roads, mafia raj, and drug menace, the survey found that employment is the key issue for 39.20% of respondents. Only 19.90% of respondents said that farm laws or MSP would be on their minds for the upcoming elections.
On the issue of withdrawal of farm laws, 59.90% of respondents fully support the withdrawal while only 14.30% do not support the repeal of laws at all.
NEXT CM FACE: In another finding, nearly 1/3rd of respondents (33.60%) said they want to see a new face as the next Chief Minister of Punjab in 2022. Respondents chose between Captain Amarinder Singh (16.70%), Navjot Singh Sidhu (9.80%), Charanjit Singh Channi (22.20%), and Sukhbir Singh Badal (17.70%), and others.
